Youngstown St.
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
429  Austin McLean SR 32:49
607  Ryan Sullivan SO 33:10
818  Alan Burns SO 33:31
954  Ethan Wilson JR 33:42
1,302  Jon Hutnyan SR 34:13
1,677  Mike Navratil JR 34:48
1,822  Aaron Benka FR 35:02
2,170  James Nedrich SO 35:41
2,372  Michael Dahmen SO 36:14
2,498  Derek Morrison FR 36:36
National Rank #114 of 308
Great Lakes Region Rank #16 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.4%
Top 20 in Regional 98.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Austin McLean Ryan Sullivan Alan Burns Ethan Wilson Jon Hutnyan Mike Navratil Aaron Benka James Nedrich Michael Dahmen Derek Morrison
All Ohio Championships 10/02 1135 33:01 33:38 33:30 33:38 34:03 35:07 35:10 35:40 36:10 35:53
Disney Classic 10/09 1122 32:38 33:37 33:37 33:59 34:17 34:40 35:08 35:40 35:44 37:53
Penn State Nationals 10/17 1176 33:10 33:31 34:09 34:20 34:41 35:11 35:32 36:36 36:41
Horizon League Championships 10/31 1066 32:35 32:50 33:16 33:29 34:25 34:23 34:42 35:58 36:24 36:35
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/13 1139 33:17 33:05 33:50 33:42 34:10 35:14





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 16.3 451 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.9 6.0 10.2 15.0 17.0 17.0 16.0 10.4 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin McLean 49.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3
Ryan Sullivan 67.5
Alan Burns 85.8
Ethan Wilson 98.5
Jon Hutnyan 133.9
Mike Navratil 160.5
Aaron Benka 168.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.3% 0.3 10
11 1.1% 1.1 11
12 2.9% 2.9 12
13 6.0% 6.0 13
14 10.2% 10.2 14
15 15.0% 15.0 15
16 17.0% 17.0 16
17 17.0% 17.0 17
18 16.0% 16.0 18
19 10.4% 10.4 19
20 3.0% 3.0 20
21 1.0% 1.0 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 0.1% 0.1 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0